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Constructive Thoughts for the Day


The most binding constraints of Thailand
 

15 March 2007

Dear friends,                                       

                Having learned some especially interesting ideas on the topic of development economics over the past several months from Harvard University professor, Ricardo Hausman, I would like to share some of these concepts, which, connecting directly to my own field of interest, I will now apply to Thailand’s case.

                Hausman believes that the government’s tendency to attempt problem-solving in simultaneous dimensions, focusing on too many details, does not bode well for the country’s positive growth development. Thus, government problem-solving must begin with the most binding constraint, all problem-solving attempts construed useless without the use of this initial key. Picture, for example, a barrel full of holes into which water is poured. Unless the lowest perforation is patched first, the container’s water storage capacity will be restricted to that of the lowest puncture level. Accordingly, the puncture at lowest level can be considered the barrel’s most binding constraint, with the level of storage water in that barrel likened to its income, or as in the case of a nation, the nation’s most binding constraint measures the level of its national income.

                Hausman sorts binding constraints between two main sources: financing and investment returns. Binding constraints are first sourced in excessive financing costs for investment as witnessed in an interest rate that is also too high. High financing costs likewise develop from many roots, for example, a low national savings rate, the international financial system or market power over local banking systems. The second source of binding constraints, low investment returns, may also stem from many roots, whether geographical location, labour productivity, the transportation system, government policy, or other possibilities.

                Now we will turn to Thailand as I attempt to answer the question, What is the most binding constraint in Thailand?  My answer follows.   

Prior to the economic crisis of 1997, Thailand’s high finance costs were the most binding constraint in the country. Even by China’s ‘new emergent economy’ standards, Thailand had had a longtime high interest rate, especially before the crisis in 1997.

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